Oct 242014
 

Entering the final fortnight of the Senate races, something of a pattern has started to develop. Republicans are leading in the Real Clear Politics average of recent polling in all states that were to the right of the national average in the 2012 election (which President Obama won by 4 points), with two exceptions: Kansas, which is tied; and North Carolina, where Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan is clinging to a 2-point lead but has less than 46 percent support.  These right-of-center states in which the GOP is leading include six where seats are currently held by Democrats:  Arkansas, Alaska, Louisiana, South Dakota, Montana, and West Virginia.

In all states that were at least 3 points to the left of the national average in the 2012 election (so states where Obama won by at least 7 points), Democrats are leading.  These include several contested races, such as in Minnesota (4 points to the left of the national average in 2012), Michigan (5 points), New Mexico (10), Oregon (12), Illinois (17), and New Jersey (18).

That leaves three states that were less than 3 points to the left of the national average in the 2012 election — and the president’s Obamacare-induced 42 percent approval rating has put them very much in play this time around.  Indeed, Republican candidates are leading in Colorado (1 point to the left of the national average in 2012) and Iowa (2), and Scott Brown is narrowly trailing in New Hampshire (2).

Then there’s Virginia. Versus the country as a whole, Virginia is as down-the-middle as could be:  Obama won reelection nationally by 3.9 points; he won in Virginia by 3.9 points.  Based on 2012 (and 2008 and 2004), Virginia is to the right of Colorado, Iowa, and New Hampshire — and Republicans are showing they can do quite well in those races.  Moreover, as Kim Strassel, Ramesh Ponnuru, and Ross Douthat have all noted in recent days, Virginia GOP Senate candidate Ed Gillespie is running an unusually (for this cycle) ideas-focused, reform-minded campaign.  In particular, he’s the only GOP Senate candidate so far who has advanced a genuine alternative to Obamacare.  So why have national Republican consultants and donors so overlooked this race?

Incumbent Mark Warner, who voted for Obamacare, is somewhat reeling from alleged ethical violations involving possible discussions of a federal judgeship for the daughter of a key Democratic state senator whose position was important to Democrats’ efforts to expand Obamacare in the state.  Even before that accusation recently came to light, Gillespie had cut Warner’s 20-point lead essentially in half, and Warner’s support is under 50 percent.  (There has been no polling since the accusation surfaced.)

Given how saturated the airwaves are in most other winnable races, Republicans who are looking for a place where they can get the most bang for their buck in the closing days of the 2014 campaign might want to cast their eyes toward the Old Dominion.

With 13 days left until the election, Virginia has the feel of the race that might end up seeming like the one that got away.  So why let it get away?

Jeffrey H. Anderson
  Virginia Republican Alliance

You can e-mail us at  VaRepAll@VirginiaRA.com

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 October 24, 2014
Oct 212014
 

Folks,

It is now or never.  With 14 days to go, we need as many of you as possible to commit to helping out on Election Day.  Specifically, we are asking that as many people as possible serve as poll watchers, especially during the first few hours that polls are open.

Poll watchers will be live tracking voter turn out, with that data then being passed along to the Gillespie campaign and each congressional campaign throughout the day.  Between now and 11/4, we will be holding multiple training sessions.  Below is a list of those sessions that will be held over the phone/online.  Please RSVP for one (or more) and on the day of your training, you will receive an email with the call-in and log-in information:

The dates of the trainings are as follows:
  • Tuesday, October 21 at 9 PM
  • Sunday, October 26 at 9 PM
  • Tuesday, October 28 at 9 PM
  • Wednesday, October 29 at 9 PM
  • Monday, November 3 at 7 PM
There will also be in-person trainings as well.  Please email back if you are interested in one of these sessions.

Again, please commit to helping out and Ed and the ticket on Election Day.  Being a poll watcher and live tracking voter turnout will allow the campaigns to make on-the-fly decisions that have the potential to turnout out extra votes, which in turn could decide this election.

Thanks again and please let me know if you have any questions.

P.S. Make sure you let us know that you want to help on Election Day by signing up here: http://edforsenate.com/get-involved/edo-team/

All the best,

Hooff Cooksey
Statewide Field Director
(703) 838-7774

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 October 21, 2014
Oct 032014
 

Only 31 days left until the crucial November 4 election!  There is a lot going on: (click thru to each page for details)

  • Campaign Rally, Wednesday October 8: Hurt & Gillespie to attend
  • Campaign Updates
  • Monthly Breakfast
  • Absentee Voting: Don’t miss your chance to vote.
  • Republican Call To Action
  • Greene County GOP Pig Roast, 2014
  • Election Day Poll Watchers Needed: Set your own schedule, from 2 hours or more
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 October 3, 2014
Oct 032014
 

If you will be out of town or will have difficulty getting to the polls on elections day you can vote early. Bring a current photo ID.

1. IN PERSON Early Voting:  This is the easiest way to be certain of voting and that your vote will count.  All you need to do is go to the County Office building on 5th Street extension (directions) and vote in person on the machine just like you would on election day.  Be certain to bring valid ID.  If you are anticipate travel out of county of election day (for work, vacation, shopping or any personal business or business reason) you are eligible for early voting (among other reasons, see here).
Continue reading »

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 October 3, 2014
Oct 012014
 

I, Cindi Burket, Chairman of the Albemarle County Republican Committee,

Do call for a meeting of the County Committee’s Executive Board for Monday, October 6, 2014 at 7:00 PM. The meeting will be held at the ACRC Headquarters, 455 Albemarle Square, Charlottesville, Va.

AGENDA

A.     Approval Of Minutes of September’s Executive Board Meeting
B.    Treasurer’s Report
1.      2014 Budget
a.      Balances
b.     Current Expenditures
 C.    Executive Board
a.      Chair Report
b.     Vice Chair Reports
i.      Membership
ii.      Database
iii.      Issues
c.      Executive Director Report
 D.    Magisterial District Chair Reports
E.     Breakfast  Meeting (September 13, 2014)
a.       Speaker
b.     Other activities
F.     Committees Updates
a.      Financial
b.     Fund Raising
c.      Event
d.     Candidate Search
e.      Communications
f.        Call Initiative
G.     Other business
H.     Adjournment

 

 

 

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 October 1, 2014
Sep 262014
 

In case you didn’t notice here is what happened on January 1, 2014 :

  1. Top Medicare tax went from 1.45% to 2.35%  
  2. Top Income tax bracket went from 35% to 39.6%  
  3. Top Income payroll tax went from 37.4% to 52.2% 
  4. Capital Gains tax went from 15% to 28%   
  5. Dividends tax went from 15% to 39.6%   
  6. Estate tax went from 0%to 55%
  7. More on Taxes Here

Remember:

These taxes were all passed only with Democrat votes, no Republicans voted for these taxes.

These taxes were all passed under the Affordable Care Act, aka Obamacare.

Elections are coming! VOTE!

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 September 26, 2014
Sep 232014
 
Louisiana Senator Elbert Guillory (R-Opelousas) explains why he recently switched from the Democrat Party to the Republican Party.
He discusses the history of the Republican Party, founded as an Abolitionist Movement in 1854. Guillory talks about how the welfare state is only a mechanism for politicians to control the black community.
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 September 23, 2014
Sep 222014
 

ACRC member Terry Cooper, whose day job is as a Republican political consultant, will be teaching an OLLI course this fall on “Political Polarization:  Causes and Four Proposed Cures.”  It meets on three Thursdays (October 2, 9 and 16) from 10:00 to 11:30 A.M. at Meadows Presbyterian Church on Angus Road.

This will be a substantially updated version of the talk Terry gave at ACRWL’s “Hot Topics” in May.  It’s substantially updated because there have been a number of major developments since then.  To mention just two:

(1) The Pew Research Center has released two very significant studies on polarization and how many people are self-gerrymandering into echo chambers in which they hear only from think-alikes.  Further studies are expected to be released shortly.

(2) One of the four proposed cures, the “top-two” primary, is intended to give minority-party voters the maximum possible impact in districts that overwhelmingly favor the other party (think Republicans having an impact in Charlottesville).  The 2014 results of the primaries in two of the three states that have top-two primaries (California and Washington) are now in and the general-election campaigns there are underway.  Terry will discuss what’s happening there.

Registration is required.  You may register online by going to www.olliuva.org.

 

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 September 22, 2014
Sep 222014
 

District Five will host it’s annual fundraiser.  Special guests include Congressman Robert Hurt, U.S. Senate Candidate Ed Gillespie and Bishop E.W. Jackson.  Enjoy delicious BBQ, Corn hole tournaments, music by George Caylor’s Old Time Band and a Live Auction.

Location:  Historical Oak Ridge Estate
                   2300 Oak Ridge Road
                   Arrington, Virginia
 
September 28, 2014  3:00pm – 7:00pm
 
Tickets:
$20 Individual
$30 per Couple
$10 Students with ID
Children 12 and under Free
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 September 22, 2014